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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Charleston Southern Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 54.9% 45.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Log Adjusted 48.2% 51.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.2% 55.8% -

Actual: Charleston Southern Buccaneers +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DJ Patrick 40 1-5 1-4 0-1 5 0 4 0 0 3 7 -
K. Taylor 38 6-13 0-1 9-13 8 2 2 1 2 21 19 -1.9
J. Wright 38 5-17 2-7 10-11 3 2 0 0 2 22 8 -1.9
T. Solomon 35 12-26 3-6 7-10 9 1 1 0 0 34 19 -1.9
D. Thomas 23 1-2 0-0 1-4 9 3 0 1 1 3 13 -
M. Mayfield 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Tolentino 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -2.0
J. Clarke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Williams 36 5-9 0-2 0-0 4 6 0 0 0 10 11 +2.0
A. Sumler 30 6-13 1-4 5-6 4 3 1 0 4 18 9 +1.9
B. Blaine 30 5-11 2-6 2-7 7 2 3 0 5 14 10 -
N. Brafford 27 2-4 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 7 9 +2.0
L. Olalere 21 2-2 0-0 3-7 7 1 0 2 1 7 14 -
J. Taylor 20 1-3 1-2 0-1 1 4 1 0 2 3 4 +1.9
R. Jones 14 6-6 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 2 0 12 10 +1.9
J. Hafemeister 13 3-7 2-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 10 2 -
D. Brafford 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 2 3 2 -
J. Franklin 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter