Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +20 (83-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell McCreary * | 36 | 7-17 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | +12.8 |
| Casmir Chavis * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 7-12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +10.6 |
| Raysean Seamster * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +7.8 |
| Jayden Smoot * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +5.7 |
| Cameron Jackson * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +3.7 |
| Bahsil Laster | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | +1.0 |
| Tyran Mason | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.8 |
| Miles Goodman | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Jordan Lowery | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.0 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Jackson * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | +3.7 |
| Christian Harmon * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth * | 29 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | -2.7 |
| TJ Caldwell * | 24 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Aly Tounkara * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Jalen Hampton | 25 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 20 | -8.7 |
| K. Hayman | 16 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| R. Smith | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -11.8 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3.7 |
| F. Sylla | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter