Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.0% | 34.0% | -3.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Patrick * | 36 | 8-19 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Keon Thompson * | 33 | 8-21 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Chrishawn Christmas * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Jerald Colonel * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | -3.9 |
| K. Burton * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Narit Chotikavanic | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Gediminas Alisas | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Ahamed Mohammed | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Eltramon Smith Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raysean Seamster * | 33 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | +4.3 |
| Marcell McCreary * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Cameron Jackson * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Casmir Chavis * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Jayden Smoot | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Jordan Lowery | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Tyran Mason | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Bahsil Laster | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Miles Goodman | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +0.1 |
* = starter