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2025-11-18

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 67.9% 32.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“
Margin 72.5% 27.5% -5.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 84.2% 15.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.3% 41.7% - โœ“

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -8 (76-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcell McCreary * 30 1-6 0-2 5-6 1 2 1 0 1 7 4 -5.6
Raysean Seamster * 29 8-13 2-4 1-1 9 4 1 0 4 19 16 +9.4
Cameron Jackson * 23 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 6 9 +9.0
Casmir Chavis * 22 2-4 0-0 5-6 0 3 0 0 3 9 5 +9.7
Bahsil Laster * 9 1-1 0-0 3-3 1 0 2 0 2 5 5 +3.3
Tyran Mason 22 8-10 3-4 0-2 4 1 3 0 4 19 13 +12.7
Jayden Smoot 20 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 +10.7
Marcus Rigsby Jr. 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 5 -6.5
Amari Reed 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 +8.0
Jordan Lowery 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 3 5 +4.1
Miles Goodman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.8

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Leif Moeller * 38 3-11 1-6 2-2 0 6 0 0 2 9 2 -7.0
Joshua Hughes * 35 2-6 1-1 6-7 4 2 1 1 1 11 12 -4.5
Alex Hemenway * 33 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 5 -1.4
Connor Turnbull * 22 9-15 0-1 2-4 5 0 1 1 3 20 9 -2.9
A.J. Casey * 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 2 1 2 6 -13.5
Keishon Porter 27 4-9 1-4 9-13 0 3 4 0 2 18 14 -10.7
Bryce Quinet 17 1-3 1-3 1-3 0 2 0 0 2 4 1 -13.3
James Dyson-Merwe 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -6.9
Trent Hundley 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.6

* = starter