Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.9% | 95.1% | +16.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +18 (74-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Jackson * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +4.7 |
| Casmir Chavis * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | -17.2 |
| Raysean Seamster * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | -8.2 |
| Tyran Mason * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | -18.5 |
| Jordan Lowery * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -11.4 |
| Marcell McCreary | 22 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -4.3 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -9.5 |
| Bahsil Laster | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Jayden Smoot | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Miles Goodman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -17.5 |
| Amari Reed | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deyton Albury * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +12.5 |
| Antonio Chol * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +14.6 |
| Jake Hall * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +13.6 |
| C. Howell * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +19.2 |
| Tomislav Buljan * | 19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +17.1 |
| Luke Haupt | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Uriah Tenette | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | +17.6 |
| Tajavis Miller | 14 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -3.3 |
| JT Rock | 9 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | +3.0 |
| M. Vicentic | 7 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -6.9 |
| K. Patton Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Timeo Pons | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter