Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Delaware Blue Hens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | +8.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware Blue Hens +8 (65-57). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Burton * | 37 | 6-16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Zion Cruz * | 37 | 3-15 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | +3.6 |
| Shemani Fuller * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -7.2 |
| Davis Bynum * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -5.2 |
| Caleb Smith * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.1 |
| AB Coulibaly | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -5.5 |
| Mohamad Diallo | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Devean Williams | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Kristupas Kepežinskas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Cole McCabe | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.7 |
| Jamir McNeil | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.5 |
Delaware Blue Hens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Bliss * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -6.6 |
| Justyn Fernandez * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Macon Emory * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | +0.5 |
| Tyler Houser * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +4.4 |
| Bouna Kebe * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Alex Kazanecki | 29 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Houston Emory | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Jayden Taylor | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +0.6 |
* = starter