Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -16 (53-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Meadow | 34 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +20.4 |
| Javan Buchanan | 34 | 11-18 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | +15.4 |
| Dylan Andrews | 31 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +22.5 |
| RJ Keene | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +12.9 |
| Drew Fielder | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +11.4 |
| Aginaldo Neto | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Dominic Parolin | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Spencer Ahrens | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Bhan Buom | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.0 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeShawn Gory | 39 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | -16.8 |
| Jake Heidbreder | 37 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -19.1 |
| Bastien Rieber | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -14.4 |
| Wilson Jacques | 32 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 6 | -15.8 |
| Cameron Faas | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Jac Mani | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Gasper Kocevar | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -11.2 |
| Aram Soqui Urbano | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Matteo Porto | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter