Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.0% | 15.0% | -9.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans -31 (58-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Andrews | 24 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +5.2 |
| Andrew Meadow | 24 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +12.3 |
| Drew Fielder | 24 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +7.4 |
| RJ Keene | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | +8.7 |
| Aginaldo Neto | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +18.7 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +16.0 |
| Javan Buchanan | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +6.4 |
| Spencer Ahrens | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +15.2 |
| Dominic Parolin | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +10.4 |
| Bhan Buom | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +6.4 |
| Ethan Lathan | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Rayzhon Bergersen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasha Goodarzi | 33 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -19.8 |
| Colby Garland | 31 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | -19.3 |
| Jermaine Washington | 30 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | -16.9 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. | 29 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Myers | 25 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -12.1 |
| Sadraque NgaNga | 25 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | -21.3 |
| Douglas Langford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter