Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.3% | 34.7% | -3.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -25 (68-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev | 34 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 26 | +20.5 |
| Adlan Elamin | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +16.5 |
| MJ Collins | 27 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | +18.0 |
| Drake Allen | 25 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +23.8 |
| Kolby King | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Karson Templin | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +9.8 |
| Elijah Perryman | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Garry Clark | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +5.8 |
| Zach Keller | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +12.2 |
| Tucker Anderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Jordy Barnes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Luke Kearney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Parolin | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | -3.6 |
| Dylan Andrews | 30 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | -18.0 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 28 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Aginaldo Neto | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Andrew Meadow | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -15.4 |
| RJ Keene | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11.2 |
| Spencer Ahrens | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -13.0 |
| Drew Fielder | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -12.4 |
| Javan Buchanan | 10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -11.2 |
| Rayzhon Bergersen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Bhan Buom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
* = starter