Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 40 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | -3.8 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 38 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 22 | -2.5 |
| Dillan Shaw | 34 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Andrew McKeever | 26 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -9.4 |
| Liam Campbell | 24 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Harry Wessels | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Mikey Lewis | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -12.7 |
| Tony Duckett | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +7.2 |
| Rory Hawke | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Mantas Juzenas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javan Buchanan | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +12.9 |
| Dylan Andrews | 31 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -7.0 |
| Andrew Meadow | 27 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +5.6 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +6.0 |
| RJ Keene | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +17.0 |
| Drew Fielder | 21 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Dominic Parolin | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Aginaldo Neto | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -2.5 |
| Spencer Ahrens | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.3 |
* = starter