🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Omaha Mavericks Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 18.6% 81.4% -
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% -
Log Adjusted 2.4% 97.6% -
Points Off/Def 16.8% 83.2% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +23 (97-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Omaha Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Stubblefield * 38 3-7 0-2 3-5 0 6 3 0 1 9 10 -19.8
T. Osburn * 35 9-18 6-12 0-0 1 3 4 0 1 24 13 -15.6
L. Waddles * 31 7-15 4-9 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 18 9 -18.1
B. Scholl * 24 1-2 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 1 0 2 4 -9.3
K. Thomas * 24 1-2 1-2 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 5 9 -5.8
J. Glover 15 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -10.5
V. Simon 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -10.3
J. Margrave 10 3-8 2-5 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 10 2 -12.1
C. Richardson 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Cooper 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -4.6

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jorgensen * 31 8-12 2-5 7-8 9 2 1 1 1 25 25 +17.2
J. Pascarelli * 28 6-9 3-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 15 13 +8.4
J. Muniz * 26 2-5 1-2 3-3 4 3 0 0 2 8 8 +10.8
B. Rechsteiner * 26 3-8 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 8 -1 +13.9
C. Booth * 25 4-6 2-4 3-4 11 2 1 0 1 13 20 +7.0
J. Butler 20 2-5 1-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 +15.0
J. McIver 19 1-3 0-1 2-2 5 4 0 0 1 4 9 +14.3
A. Kiudulas 15 2-2 0-0 9-11 2 0 1 0 2 13 12 +14.2
N. Djapa 8 1-2 0-1 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 +3.7
D. Slater 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.0

* = starter