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2026-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Grand Canyon Lopes Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% -
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Grand Canyon Lopes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Henley 44 5-19 2-8 4-7 13 2 2 0 4 16 10 -3.6
D. Stromer 44 4-7 0-3 0-1 4 3 1 0 3 8 6 -8.3
M. Williams 43 3-12 1-5 6-7 1 2 1 1 4 13 2 -1.6
N. Owusu-Anane 39 3-10 1-6 0-0 3 0 2 4 2 7 4 +0.4
E. Demirel 37 7-8 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 2 1 14 18 -6.9
D. Evans 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -1.8
W. Breidenbach 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -7.5
E. Boisdur 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -10.8

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Camper Jr. 39 3-13 0-1 2-6 6 5 2 0 1 8 7 +8.7
P. White 29 3-7 2-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 9 5 +29.7
C. Bailey III 29 7-10 4-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 18 13 +12.3
E. Price 24 2-8 0-1 2-3 6 2 0 1 3 6 4 +1.6
T. Rolison 23 1-7 0-1 9-11 5 4 3 0 0 11 16 +16.4
T. Comer 23 1-9 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 5 1 -7.3
J. Coleman 21 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 0 3 7 +7.7
K. Lowery 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -20.4
V. Weems 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 1 +1.7
A. Robinson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.3

* = starter