Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -11 (57-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nana Owusu-Anane | 38 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +4.9 |
| Makaih Williams | 37 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +8.9 |
| Jaden Henley | 35 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | +15.6 |
| Caleb Shaw | 27 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +7.4 |
| Efe Demirel | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +17.2 |
| Dusty Stromer | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +3.7 |
| Dennis Evans | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10.1 |
| Evan Boisdur | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 38 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -7.5 |
| DeShawn Gory | 37 | 7-20 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 12 | -3.3 |
| Zaon Collins | 34 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 32 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | -8.0 |
| Wilson Jacques | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Cameron Faas | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
| Jac Mani | 9 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.8 |
| Bastien Rieber | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.5 |
| Gasper Kocevar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Makhan Diouf | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Matteo Porto | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter