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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Grand Canyon Lopes Spread Result
Elo 11.6% 88.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% - ✓
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.6 ✓ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 13.9% 86.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% - ✓

Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +18 (76-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Melvin Bell Jr. 36 5-12 0-1 7-11 5 1 1 0 6 17 6 -
Adrian Myers 35 3-8 1-4 0-0 5 0 2 1 2 7 5 -4.6
Pasha Goodarzi 35 2-5 2-4 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 7 4 -7.2
Ben Roseborough 29 7-19 3-6 6-7 3 0 2 0 1 23 8 -11.1
Douglas Langford 23 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 4 -4.9
Sadraque NgaNga 17 2-5 0-3 0-1 1 1 2 1 1 4 3 -9.0
Japhet Moupadele 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -3.6
Marcus Overstreet 8 0-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -2.4
Eren Karakaya 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +3.0

Grand Canyon Lopes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Henley 28 3-6 0-3 5-7 3 3 5 0 3 11 13 +18.6
Makaih Williams 27 3-11 2-7 0-0 4 5 1 0 0 8 7 +4.5
Nana Owusu-Anane 26 3-7 1-2 0-0 11 0 2 1 1 7 13 +6.9
Efe Demirel 21 5-7 0-0 4-5 6 0 0 0 1 14 12 +7.7
Caleb Shaw 21 2-10 1-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 5 -2 +6.7
Brian Moore Jr. 20 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 7 5 +7.9
Dusty Stromer 17 4-6 4-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 12 5 -0.7
Wilhelm Breidenbach 14 0-0 0-0 4-4 0 0 1 0 0 4 5 +5.3
Kaleb Smith 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 +3.3
Evan Boisdur 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -5.2
Dennis Evans 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 3 0 2 5 -3.1
Cole Pepe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter