Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters | 29 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -9.4 |
| Miles Byrd | 28 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | -6.9 |
| BJ Davis | 25 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Elzie Harrington | 25 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Magoon Gwath | 22 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -6.3 |
| Miles Heide | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | +8.8 |
| S. Newman Jr. | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -1.0 |
| Tae Simmons | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +7.7 |
| Taj Degourville | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +5.5 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.3 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Haupt | 34 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 7-10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | +7.6 |
| Jake Hall | 33 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Tomislav Buljan | 32 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 28 | +18.0 |
| Deyton Albury | 31 | 0-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +7.1 |
| Antonio Chol | 28 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Uriah Tenette | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -2.5 |
| JT Rock | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -12.0 |
| Tajavis Miller | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
* = starter