Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✗ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +17 (89-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Falslev | 34 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| MJ Collins | 32 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | - |
| A. Elamin | 26 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. King | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Allen | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Z. Keller | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| K. Templin | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Anderson | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| E. Perryman | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Clark | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brayden Boe | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dixon-Waters | 33 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| M. Byrd | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| E. Harrington | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Gwath | 24 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| T. DeGourville | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| P. Compton | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| BJ Davis | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Heide | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Simmons | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| S. Newman Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter