Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Henley | 35 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| M. Williams | 34 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Moore Jr. | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Owusu-Anane | 32 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| E. Demirel | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. Stromer | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Evans | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| W. Breidenbach | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Braylon Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Shaw | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Byrd | 35 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Dixon-Waters | 32 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| T. DeGourville | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| BJ Davis | 21 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| S. Newman Jr. | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Gwath | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Heide | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Simmons | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| P. Compton | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Oden | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter