Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Price | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| C. Camper Jr. | 34 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| V. Weems | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Comer | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| K. Lowery | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Bailey III | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Armotrading | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Rolison | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Walker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Robinson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. White | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Coleman | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dixon-Waters | 32 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| M. Byrd | 30 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| BJ Davis | 27 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| T. DeGourville | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Simmons | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Heide | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Newman Jr. | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Compton | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Gwath | 13 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| J. Oden | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter