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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Hall 35 5-10 3-7 2-4 3 5 1 0 0 15 14 -8.7
Tomislav Buljan 29 8-15 0-1 4-5 14 2 4 1 6 20 20 -6.0
Antonio Chol 29 4-9 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 12 7 +1.3
Luke Haupt 28 4-6 3-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 11 11 +4.6
Deyton Albury 26 2-5 0-1 5-6 1 2 2 0 6 9 3 +2.5
Uriah Tenette 25 1-6 1-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 5 6 -13.3
Tajavis Miller 17 1-9 1-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 3 -3 -7.6
JT Rock 11 1-1 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 1 2 4 6 -0.9

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Byrd 31 5-9 3-6 8-9 8 3 3 4 4 21 26 +6.3
Reese Dixon-Waters 31 2-6 1-2 5-6 9 0 4 0 2 10 15 +12.6
Taj Degourville 26 4-7 2-3 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 11 10 +10.0
Miles Heide 24 1-2 0-0 2-3 3 2 1 0 1 4 7 +5.8
Elzie Harrington 21 4-12 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 9 -3 +7.7
BJ Davis 20 4-6 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 9 3 +3.8
S. Newman Jr. 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 +0.7
Pharaoh Compton 11 5-6 0-0 2-3 3 1 3 0 0 12 13 +1.4
Magoon Gwath 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 -8.6
Tae Simmons 9 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -7.7
Jeremiah Oden 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +1.1
Cam Lawin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter