Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +19 (71-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeShawn Gory | 35 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | -3.7 |
| Jake Heidbreder | 34 | 3-15 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -4 | -8.4 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 26 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -11.6 |
| DJ Stickman | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -20.4 |
| Wilson Jacques | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -8.5 |
| Bastien Rieber | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +6.0 |
| Jac Mani | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Gasper Kocevar | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +6.2 |
| Cameron Faas | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.9 |
| Matteo Porto | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +2.0 |
| Makhan Diouf | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters | 25 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +14.0 |
| Elzie Harrington | 24 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +5.9 |
| Magoon Gwath | 23 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | +12.9 |
| Miles Byrd | 23 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | +19.7 |
| Taj Degourville | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Miles Heide | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +11.7 |
| BJ Davis | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.1 |
| S. Newman Jr. | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +4.9 |
| Jeremiah Oden | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -10.1 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +6.9 |
| Tae Simmons | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.0 |
* = starter