Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +23 (68-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters | 30 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Magoon Gwath | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -7.9 |
| Miles Byrd | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -19.9 |
| Miles Heide | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -14.1 |
| BJ Davis | 20 | 1-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | +4.7 |
| Elzie Harrington | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -11.3 |
| Tae Simmons | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -7.5 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Sean Newman Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.7 |
| Taj Degourville | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.0 |
| Jeremiah Oden | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.5 |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley | 36 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +19.1 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov | 29 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +18.5 |
| Brayden Burries | 25 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +4.5 |
| Motiejus Krivas | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | +22.4 |
| Koa Peat | 23 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +8.1 |
| Tobe Awaka | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | +10.1 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso | 20 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +13.3 |
| Dwayne Aristode | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +5.4 |
| Sven Djopmo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Sidi Gueye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Addison Arnold | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Evan Nelson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
* = starter