Model Predictions
| Model | Lamar Cardinals | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | +19.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +18 (89-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Lee Jr. * | 36 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | -14.1 |
| Andrew Holifield * | 33 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -5.6 |
| Cody Pennebaker * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -13.2 |
| Braden East * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Errol White * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -17.8 |
| K. Wilhite | 21 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Janko Bulajic | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13.4 |
| B.B. Knight | 15 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +5.9 |
| Eian Lowe | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -2.3 |
| Jayden Gambrell | 4 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -5.6 |
| Spencer Ezewiro | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd * | 30 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | +17.0 |
| Reese Dixon-Waters * | 22 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +8.0 |
| Magoon Gwath * | 20 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +10.9 |
| Miles Heide * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +7.0 |
| Elzie Harrington * | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | +4.6 |
| S. Newman Jr. | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +7.5 |
| BJ Davis | 22 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 19 | +8.4 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Jeremiah Oden | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Taj Degourville | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Tae Simmons | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +2.3 |
* = starter