Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Leonhardt | 39 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 9 | -15.3 |
| T. Hendricks | 38 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | -13.6 |
| J. Holcombe | 36 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 22 | -2.1 |
| N. Taitz | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5.5 |
| H. Welling | 23 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | -7.1 |
| I. Davis | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -1.7 |
| S. Weatherspoon IV | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -24.8 |
| I. Hawkins | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -0.8 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dixon-Waters | 25 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | +6.7 |
| BJ Davis | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +10.5 |
| P. Compton | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +19.3 |
| M. Byrd | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.6 |
| E. Harrington | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -8.4 |
| T. DeGourville | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +16.9 |
| S. Newman Jr. | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +23.0 |
| J. Oden | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +10.6 |
| M. Gwath | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -7.8 |
| T. Simmons | 14 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +3.7 |
| M. Heide | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.7 |
* = starter