Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks -17 (80-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters * | 28 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Miles Byrd * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | +4.6 |
| Magoon Gwath * | 22 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +11.6 |
| Miles Heide * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Taj Degourville * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -0.3 |
| BJ Davis | 21 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | +20.4 |
| Elzie Harrington | 20 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +13.5 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +16.5 |
| Jeremiah Oden | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +11.5 |
| S. Newman Jr. | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +12.7 |
| Tae Simmons | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Thokbor Majak | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Cam Lawin | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Shelstad * | 32 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | -18.8 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | -5.0 |
| TK Simpkins * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Devon Pryor * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Nate Bittle * | 20 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Sean Stewart | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -20.4 |
| Dezdrick Lindsay | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -16.6 |
| Ege Demir | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.3 |
| Wei Lin | 10 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Jamari Phillips | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +0.4 |
* = starter