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2025-11-24

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.6% 92.4% - โœ“
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.3 โœ“ (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +40 (94-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reese Dixon-Waters * 26 1-7 1-6 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 5 5 -27.3
Miles Byrd * 26 2-8 1-3 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 5 -3 -22.4
Taj Degourville * 21 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 4 -2 -22.0
Magoon Gwath * 20 2-8 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 5 7 -3 -21.0
Miles Heide * 20 0-4 0-0 0-0 8 5 1 1 2 0 9 -10.0
Elzie Harrington 22 6-9 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 15 6 -10.8
BJ Davis 17 3-8 2-4 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 11 5 -13.6
Jeremiah Oden 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -11.4
Pharaoh Compton 13 0-1 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 1 2 2 4 -17.1
Tae Simmons 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -11.2
S. Newman Jr. 8 1-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -13.5
Thokbor Majak 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yaxel Lendeborg * 26 5-7 2-4 3-5 6 4 0 1 2 15 17 +25.5
Aday Mara * 24 3-6 0-1 1-2 8 2 0 3 2 7 12 +17.6
Morez Johnson Jr. * 23 4-8 0-0 5-5 6 0 1 1 2 13 11 +25.4
Nimari Burnett * 21 3-8 2-6 3-4 7 1 0 0 0 11 11 +22.7
Elliot Cadeau * 18 5-7 3-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 13 10 +26.1
Roddy Gayle Jr. 22 5-6 0-0 1-1 4 2 3 0 0 11 14 +13.8
L.J. Cason 22 2-7 0-5 2-4 3 2 2 0 2 6 4 +11.0
Will Tschetter 16 4-9 2-6 0-1 3 0 1 0 0 10 5 +13.4
Trey McKenney 15 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 6 3 +19.6
Oscar Goodman 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 +4.7
Malick Kordel 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.8
Winters Grady 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +4.8

* = starter