Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -1 (107-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd * | 46 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 6-8 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 32 | +2.2 |
| Coo. Campbell * | 43 | 5-18 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Theo Seng * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 9-11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | +12.6 |
| Victor Valdes * | 32 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +0.5 |
| Cobi Campbell * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Austin Cross | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6.8 |
| Javen Colbert | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Corbin Green | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Emmanuel Clarton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters * | 43 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Miles Byrd * | 37 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | -0.2 |
| Taj Degourville * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Jeremiah Oden * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -12.1 |
| Pharaoh Compton * | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Magoon Gwath | 28 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 8-12 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 25 | +4.8 |
| BJ Davis | 24 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +9.8 |
| Miles Heide | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -3.3 |
| S. Newman Jr. | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Elzie Harrington | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -1 | -4.2 |
| Tae Simmons | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter