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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.5 โœ“ (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 15.0% 85.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +25 (109-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aj George 29 0-3 0-0 2-4 1 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
CJ Hardy 28 7-13 3-6 6-8 4 5 1 0 1 23 19 -
T. Mark 24 5-6 2-2 2-2 1 0 0 1 2 14 8 -
Ronald Jessamy 24 2-8 0-0 5-6 4 1 2 2 1 9 9 -
D. Smith 24 4-5 2-3 4-8 2 2 1 0 3 14 11 -
M. Price 21 4-7 2-5 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
J. Alexander 18 2-5 1-2 6-6 1 0 2 0 2 11 7 -
P. Geneste Jr. 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
K. Waller 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Purnell 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Waller 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. James Jr. 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ Shaw 29 3-6 0-2 9-10 2 4 2 0 0 15 17 -
Aidan Mahaney 29 11-13 7-7 1-2 4 4 2 0 1 30 26 -
Zion Sensley 28 6-13 4-7 0-0 14 2 0 0 4 16 15 -
Marvin McGhee IV 21 0-4 0-4 6-6 3 6 2 1 1 6 13 -
Colin Smith 19 3-6 1-3 3-3 2 4 0 0 0 10 10 -
Hosana Kitenge 18 2-4 0-1 2-3 2 0 1 1 3 6 3 -
Zachiah Clark 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
Evans Kipruto 14 4-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 2 0 9 12 -
Michael Simcoe 13 3-3 1-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 9 12 -
Isaac Shingange 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
Luke Zuffelato 5 0-1 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
John Simcoe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kyle Haughy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter