Model Predictions
| Model | Winthrop Eagles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +36.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +35 (88-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pierfax | 34 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | -9.5 |
| A. Porter | 31 | 6-19 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 10 | -5.2 |
| C. Lard | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -8.1 |
| P. Williams | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7.9 |
| J. Ryce | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -10.9 |
| M. Ruff | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -7.4 |
| T. Johnson | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -5.6 |
| R. Wilson | 16 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
| M. Hamilton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | 38 | 15-20 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 31 | +13.2 |
| P. Clark | 34 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 20 | +14.7 |
| C. Weimar | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +8.2 |
| A. Ring | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +7.7 |
| J. Brown | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | +7.8 |
| G. White | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | +5.6 |
| S. Smith | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +7.6 |
| T. Amanze | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +8.7 |
| D. Arigbabu | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| R. Dias Dos Santos | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
* = starter