Model Predictions
| Model | Howard Bison | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +26 (76-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Howard Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zennia Thomas | 31 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -9.4 |
| Zoe Stewart | 29 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Nile Miller | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -10.4 |
| April Edwards | 23 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -5.1 |
| Sa'lah Hemingway | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +5.5 |
| Dallysshya Moreno | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.6 |
| Rayne Durant | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.5 |
| Emma NuQuay | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -10.0 |
| Jada Kendrick | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -12.2 |
| Destiny Bynum-Johnson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Jenesis Perrin | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Dylan Watson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2.1 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kymora Johnson | 33 | 3-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +20.6 |
| Sa'Myah Smith | 31 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +7.2 |
| Paris Clark | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | +8.4 |
| Romi Levy | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 17 | +0.3 |
| Tabitha Amanze | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 16 | +6.7 |
| Adeang Ring | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +9.8 |
| Gabby White | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | +11.9 |
| Jillian Brown | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +11.7 |
| Caitlin Weimar | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +7.3 |
| Danelle Arigbabu | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.9 |
| R. Dias Dos Santos | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.7 |
* = starter