Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | +22.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +30.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.7% | 99.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.6% | 99.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +33 (92-59). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna Barnes * | 33 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kalise Hill * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Lainey Allen * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Dakieran Turner * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Ashanti Lynch * | 23 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
| C. Sabater Sánchez | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Desi Taylor | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Dayshawna Carter | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jailynn Clayton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaida Cameron | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Enola Papin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kymora Johnson * | 39 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Romi Levy * | 35 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jillian Brown * | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Paris Clark * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tabitha Amanze * | 22 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Raiane Dias Dos Santos | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Gabby White | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Caitlin Weimar | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Adeang Ring | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Danelle Arigbabu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter