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2025-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Radford Highlanders Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% -
Bradley-Terry 16.6% 83.4% -
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 7.5% 92.5% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +31 (77-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Radford Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Simonsen 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 4 5 -5.5
J. Williams 22 4-12 2-6 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 10 1 -21.6
A. Jenkins 22 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -16.0
C. Haywood 22 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 4 -15.7
A. Nice 21 4-7 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 9 5 -14.9
K. Dandridge 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 0 -1 -11.4
C. Carlson 19 2-6 1-4 4-4 3 1 1 0 0 9 8 -13.6
E. Taylor 19 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 2 -6 +0.4
A. Stromberg 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 2 -14.5
A. Sawi 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 +1.0
A. Traylor-Walker 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -10.3
L. Williams 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.7

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson 34 3-9 2-6 1-2 3 8 4 0 4 9 11 +22.0
R. Levy 27 2-5 1-2 2-2 8 2 1 0 2 7 11 +19.6
P. Clark 27 4-10 2-3 2-2 9 2 2 2 0 12 17 +27.1
T. Amanze 24 8-13 0-0 5-8 12 1 2 1 4 21 20 +12.3
J. Brown 18 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 4 5 +5.8
A. Ring 18 4-9 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 10 6 +4.5
B. Hurd 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 3 4 +10.5
C. Weimar 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 4 0 4 11 +14.2
G. White 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 +10.2
R. Dias Dos Santos 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 +7.9

* = starter