Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.3% | 17.7% | -8.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -3 (55-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Nestor | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | +4.3 |
| Aysia Proctor | 27 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | +5.8 |
| Andi Schissler | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +4.9 |
| Tionna Lidge | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +13.2 |
| Jazzy Owens-Barnett | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | +13.8 |
| Cherie Spencer | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | -11.6 |
| Tiffany Hammond | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Chania Price | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Mekhia Chase | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -3.6 |
| Jaelyn Talley | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Allison Rickman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Shelby Thornton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyla Deck | 38 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | +12.6 |
| Miriam Ibezim | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -0.7 |
| Tyi Skinner | 28 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -4 | -1.8 |
| Ayanna Thompson | 26 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Paulina Paris | 26 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Zahra King | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Anaya Brown | 14 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Grace Hall | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Jzaniya Harriel | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Elizaveta Filchagina | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.1 |
* = starter