Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Lady Tigers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +26 (96-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grambling Lady Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monica Marsh | 29 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Zaria Johnson | 27 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 7 | -9.0 |
| Douthsine Prien | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -21.5 |
| D. Redmon | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -7.4 |
| Arianna Mosley | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -12.2 |
| Shaniah Nunn | 19 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Alieghya Bartholomew | 17 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +8.3 |
| Jamirica Roberson | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -20.1 |
| D'Mya Griffin | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -13.8 |
| Claire Simmons | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +6.6 |
| Nicole Sandifer | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyla Deck | 33 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +16.7 |
| Zahra King | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | +8.9 |
| Ayanna Thompson | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +12.8 |
| Anaya Brown | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | +15.5 |
| Jzaniya Harriel | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | -3.6 |
| Grace Hall | 19 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | +22.5 |
| Paulina Paris | 17 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | +0.2 |
| Sahnya Jah | 16 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | -4.9 |
| Miriam Ibezim | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -11.6 |
| Elizaveta Filchagina | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.8 |
* = starter