Model Predictions
| Model | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +26 (88-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams III * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Jacob Hogarth * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Colin Hawkins * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.5 |
| A. Talbert * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Sims * | 27 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | -3.3 |
| Jacob Hudson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -9.4 |
| J. Ferere | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -9.4 |
| N. Peterson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.4 |
| DJ Jefferson | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -8.7 |
| A. Ndiaye | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Gales | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hodge * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +10.8 |
| N. Ross * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +10.7 |
| Christian May * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Patrick Wessler * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +3.6 |
| G. Williams * | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +6.5 |
| Madison Durr | 26 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | +3.1 |
| Gavin Walsh | 23 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +11.3 |
| M. Mabor Makoi | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +4.3 |
| M. Smith | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.1 |
| G. Whitt | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| J. Fullwood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
* = starter