Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Rasmussen | 42 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +9.3 |
| Biko Johnson | 40 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | +8.1 |
| Kolton Mitchell | 39 | 7-17 | 6-12 | 11-14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 | -4.0 |
| Brody Rowbury | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Trevon Blassingame | 25 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +5.6 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 15 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -10.7 |
| Miles Klapper | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Seth Joba | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Ewan Steele | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Jack Payne | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Aidan Sevilla | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayden Ward | 42 | 7-12 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | +2.1 |
| Hamad Mousa | 39 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 17-19 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 25 | -7.3 |
| Peter Bandelj | 31 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +18.4 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 25 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.4 |
| Kieran Elliott | 25 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +4.4 |
| Jake Davis | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Austin Goode | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -14.8 |
| Troy Plumtree | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Ali Assran | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -10.1 |
| Luka Tarlac | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -6.1 |
* = starter