Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Winter | 43 | 9-12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 26 | -2.1 |
| Nick Boyd | 42 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | -6.6 |
| John Blackwell | 38 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -1 | -7.1 |
| Andrew Rohde | 37 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -16.6 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -11.9 |
| Austin Rapp | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Jack Janicki | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -9.3 |
| Hayden Jones | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Will Garlock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan | 39 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | +13.2 |
| Tyler Perkins | 37 | 6-17 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 11 | +11.1 |
| Matt Hodge | 35 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +10.0 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 35 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +13.1 |
| Devin Askew | 31 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +15.7 |
| Acaden Lewis | 22 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -6.5 |
| Malachi Palmer | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +9.4 |
| Tafara Gapare | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +6.7 |
| Braden Pierce | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.3 |
* = starter