Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +14 (89-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ Thomas * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -10.4 |
| J. Battle * | 34 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | -4.9 |
| R. Davis Jr. * | 29 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -10.8 |
| S. Hubbard * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -15.3 |
| C. Swanton-Rodger * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -6.6 |
| J. Turner | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -2.3 |
| D. McKenna | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +5.6 |
| Z. Wiggins | 15 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -1.3 |
| B. Nacey | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.2 |
| D. Raymond | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Lindsay * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +14.5 |
| T. Perkins * | 29 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | +9.2 |
| A. Lewis * | 29 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +3.1 |
| M. Hodge * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | +11.6 |
| B. Pierce * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +8.5 |
| T. Gapare | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +4.5 |
| D. Askew | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +0.1 |
| M. Palmer | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Z. Stanford | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +0.6 |
| C. Jeffrey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter