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2025-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 4.3% 95.7% -
Bradley-Terry 7.1% 92.9% -
Margin 1.9% 98.1% +21.6 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 10.8% 89.2% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Sow * 28 0-2 0-1 6-6 3 2 0 0 2 6 7 -7.7
L. Brewer * 28 2-6 0-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -7.5
C. Hollenbeck * 28 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 6 1 -8.2
E. Otten * 22 2-3 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 4 0 5 14 -3.9
G. Etchison * 22 2-9 1-4 0-2 4 4 1 0 2 5 3 -7.3
M. Kheil 27 5-10 3-8 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 15 4 -3.3
C. Van De Griend 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 2 6 9 -6.2
J. Guerra 18 2-4 0-2 4-5 3 4 0 0 1 8 10 -4.8
Q. Patterson 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9
B. Daberkow 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ensminger * 36 3-4 0-1 1-2 9 5 2 0 0 7 19 +10.1
E. Mahi * 33 2-10 0-2 1-4 7 3 1 1 1 5 6 +11.5
C. Hammond * 27 4-14 2-5 6-6 2 2 2 0 0 16 8 -
S. Gavalyugov * 22 2-7 0-5 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 6 2 +10.3
B. Oboye * 17 3-7 0-2 2-3 3 0 1 1 1 8 5 +6.7
A. Graves 28 4-10 1-3 2-3 9 1 4 0 2 11 13 +5.3
Player #5147928 22 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
KJ Cochran 11 3-7 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 3 -0.4
F. Chukwudebelu 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter