Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +8 (65-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Hayhurst | 39 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Zach Bell | 37 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | -5.0 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -10.0 |
| Jaiden Feroah | 24 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Elijah Duval | 19 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | -9.0 |
| Cale Barclay | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Kai Burdick | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.8 |
| Jalen Lee | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Logan Stephens | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Abelman | 38 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | +8.1 |
| Karl Poom | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Chris Komin | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +5.5 |
| Arne Osojnik | 24 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -8 | +1.4 |
| Kavon Bradford | 21 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +6.6 |
| Zack Davidson | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Traivar Jackson | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Shaw | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Oakland Fort | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Brennan Peterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter