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2025-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 4.0% 96.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 2.7% 97.3% - ✓
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +35.2 ✓ (36.8 off)
Pythagorean 9.6% 90.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 23.3% 76.7% - ✓

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +72 (122-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Duval * 24 4-12 0-4 2-2 2 1 2 0 7 10 -4 -31.5
Isaiah Cottrell * 23 2-10 1-6 3-6 5 1 0 0 0 8 4 -30.2
Jaiden Feroah * 21 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 2 1 7 6 -31.7
Lorenzo Abellar * 14 1-3 0-0 2-3 0 1 1 0 4 4 -1 -24.9
Cale Barclay * 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -17.7
Jalen Lee 21 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 -33.0
Tanner Hayhurst 17 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 8 4 -21.5
Zach Bell 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 8 0 -8 -32.1
Dylan Jones 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -23.8
Kai Burdick 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -19.0
Chuks Isitua 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -12.7
Langston Binns 6 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -10.5
Zeplin Kidd 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -10.5
Logan Stephens 6 0-2 0-1 3-4 0 0 1 0 1 3 1 -8.8
Brayden Johnson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.9

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Braden Huff * 22 11-13 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 22 15 +34.2
M. Saint-Supéry * 22 5-7 3-3 3-3 1 7 6 0 2 16 21 -
Graham Ike * 21 5-8 0-0 3-5 5 2 2 1 1 13 14 +26.3
Tyon Grant-Foster * 16 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 8 5 +23.7
Adam Miller * 16 5-9 2-5 1-1 2 1 2 0 0 13 9 +31.1
Emmanuel Innocenti 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 +27.3
Jalen Warley 16 2-3 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 7 10 +26.5
Ismaila Diagne 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 4 0 6 10 +27.4
Steele Venters 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 4 12 +23.7
Davis Fogle 15 7-10 1-1 4-4 1 1 2 1 0 19 14 +25.2
Braeden Smith 14 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 5 7 +21.1
Joaquim ArauzMoore 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 +1.9
Cade Orness 3 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 +1.9
Noah Haaland 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +1.9

* = starter