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Sacramento State Hornets 67
@
California Baptist Lancers 74
2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets California Baptist Lancers Spread Result
Elo 3.8% 96.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 5.2% 94.8% - ✓
Margin 8.3% 91.7% +13.2 ✓ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 17.4% 82.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% - ✓

Actual: California Baptist Lancers +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jahni Summers 35 7-10 6-8 1-2 4 0 2 0 0 21 17 +2.2
Mikey Williams 33 7-23 2-8 2-2 3 5 1 0 2 18 2 +2.1
Mark Lavrenov 28 3-5 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 4 8 10 +2.2
Taj Glover 26 2-8 1-2 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 5 5 +2.2
Shaqir O'Neal 25 2-8 0-4 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 4 0 +2.1
Brandon Gardner 22 1-6 0-4 0-0 9 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
Jayden Teat 16 4-8 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
Arman Madi 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Jeremiah Nyarko 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

California Baptist Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Martel Williams 40 6-11 2-2 0-0 5 4 1 0 3 14 10 +2.1
Dominique Daniels Jr. 30 2-8 0-1 7-7 4 3 0 0 3 11 7 -2.2
Thomas Ndong 29 4-6 0-0 4-7 17 0 1 2 2 12 24 -2.2
Jayden Jackson 26 4-7 4-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 12 5 -
Devon Malcolm 24 2-11 0-3 5-8 4 3 1 2 1 9 7 -2.2
Jordan Muller 23 2-10 1-5 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 8 -3 -2.1
Jonathan Griman 23 2-3 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 1 0 5 13 -2.2
Nate Garcia 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter