Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.1 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +10 (69-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Lorenzen * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Antwaun Massey * | 36 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 18 | +2.5 |
| Isaiah Griffin * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Francis Okwuosah * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Makai Kvamme * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Marcus Pigram | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Karyiek Dixon | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.5 |
| Tyran Cook | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Goanar Biliew | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.9 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Jackson * | 37 | 2-12 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | +2.2 |
| Martel Williams * | 36 | 5-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Dominique Daniels Jr. * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Devon Malcolm * | 21 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Thomas Ndong * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -3.5 |
| Bradey Henige | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Jordan Muller | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Monty Bowser | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.7 |
| Nate Garcia | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.4 |
* = starter