Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +14 (63-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Venzant * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Y. Rivera * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -2.6 |
| B. Hubbard * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +0.6 |
| R. Smith * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| C. Hornecker * | 11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Chilaydrien Newton | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Z. Wright | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7.1 |
| C. Alston | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Scott | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8.1 |
| M. Hill | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -2.1 |
| I. Dye | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.1 |
| T. Lewis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| I. Carrillo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Hall * | 37 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | +11.6 |
| Mark Drone * | 30 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4 | +1.4 |
| Franck Emmou * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +11.5 |
| Kaden Gumbs * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 | +8.7 |
| Makai Willis * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Dimp Pernell | 19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Kyndall Davis | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +2.5 |
| T. Sant | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Bolden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Jaelyn Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Deke Thompson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Simpson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Barganier | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter