Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -12.2 |
| B. Hubbard * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -8.4 |
| Y. Rivera * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | -5.9 |
| Joseph Venzant * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -0.2 |
| M. Hill * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -8.0 |
| Chilaydrien Newton | 30 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -6.8 |
| J. Scott | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Z. Wright | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| C. Alston | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Hornecker | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.0 |
| I. Dye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| T. Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | +8.3 |
| L. Patrick * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +6.3 |
| Chrishawn Christmas * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.2 |
| Jerald Colonel * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | +6.0 |
| K. Burton * | 12 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Narit Chotikavanic | 28 | 8-11 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | +11.2 |
| Gediminas Alisas | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.2 |
| Ahamed Mohammed | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.1 |
| Eltramon Smith Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +6.1 |
* = starter