Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +34.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +25 (82-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson * | 30 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Linus Holmstrom * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Tan Yildizoglu * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2.9 |
| Mason Hagedorn * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +5.8 |
| AJ Clark * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2.9 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. | 30 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Cal Liston | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Walker Andrews | 14 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Jaylen Pazon | 12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -4.6 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamichael Stillwell * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 31 | +1.8 |
| Themus Fulks * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | +1.8 |
| Jordan Burks * | 19 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Riley Kugel * | 16 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -2.8 |
| John Bol * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -4.5 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 22 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Dev. Cambridge | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Chris Johnson | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +4.6 |
| George Beale Jr. | 13 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -2.1 |
| Kris Parker | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Foumena | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Zachary Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter