Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters +19 (99-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Clark * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | -13.4 |
| TJ Johnson * | 33 | 6-17 | 2-11 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | -13.6 |
| Tan Yildizoglu * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -14.6 |
| Linus Holmstrom * | 23 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | -12.2 |
| Cal Liston * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Walker Andrews | 18 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | -7.5 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Mason Hagedorn | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Jaylen Pazon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Copeland * | 34 | 9-14 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | +13.9 |
| Alex Doyle * | 33 | 7-12 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 19 | +11.3 |
| Calvin Sirmans Iii * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | +11.2 |
| J. Phillips Jr. * | 27 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | +11.2 |
| C. Kuhl * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +10.3 |
| Jake Johnson | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +7.4 |
| Matar Diop | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Sean Morgan | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J.R. Leonard | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Isaac Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter