Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Washington State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | +0.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington State Cougars +6 (84-78). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie | 34 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 4 | -12.0 |
| Armani Mighty | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | -2.4 |
| Connor Serven | 28 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +2.2 |
| Brady Shoulders | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Quinton Perkins II | 23 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | -0.1 |
| Zaire Williams | 21 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -5.5 |
| Tristan Gross | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Bendji Pierre | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -9.2 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -5.6 |
Washington State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Thrastarson | 33 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +9.8 |
| Eemeli Yalaho | 32 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +10.0 |
| A. Glass | 30 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +7.2 |
| Adria Rodriguez | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Jerone Morton | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1.9 |
| ND Okafor | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Rihards Vavers | 16 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | -4.2 |
| Parker Gerrits | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.8 |
| Simon Hildebrandt | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +18.7 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -7.3 |
* = starter