Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | +11.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +11 (78-67). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Enoh * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Micah Tucker * | 33 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jakai Newton * | 28 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Malachi Brown * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Joah Chappelle * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ayouba Berthe | 19 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Trey Scott III | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chris Jones | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Christian Beam | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Sherrard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie * | 37 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Brady Shoulders * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Zaire Williams * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Armani Mighty * | 30 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Quinton Perkins II * | 27 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Connor Serven | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tristan Gross | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter