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2025-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Elon Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% - โœ“
Margin 52.0% 48.0% -0.4 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—

Actual: Elon Phoenix -7 (84-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brady Shoulders * 35 5-9 1-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 11 7 -5.4
Armani Mighty * 35 4-6 0-0 4-6 11 1 0 1 0 12 19 +3.5
Baraka Okojie * 33 5-11 1-2 18-20 5 10 2 1 5 29 31 +4.3
Zaire Williams * 28 5-12 4-10 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 14 3 +3.3
Quinton Perkins II * 26 4-10 3-6 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 11 8 -6.1
Tristan Gross 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 3 +4.3
Kyle Cuffe Jr. 14 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -8.5
Connor Serven 10 2-2 0-0 1-4 4 0 1 1 0 5 9 +2.8

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Randall Pettus II * 31 5-12 2-8 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 13 5 -1.6
Chandler Cuthrell * 30 7-17 2-4 8-12 13 2 2 0 3 24 21 -0.9
Isaac Harrell * 27 2-2 1-1 3-3 5 1 0 1 1 8 12 -2.0
Ja'Juan Carr * 25 2-11 1-3 1-1 4 5 1 0 3 6 2 -4.5
Kacper Klaczek * 23 3-5 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 4 8 5 -0.9
Bryson Cokley 25 4-9 0-3 4-5 5 1 1 0 2 12 8 +6.0
DeMarco Johnson 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 1 2 5 9 +0.0
Ned Hull 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 +4.6
Bryson Spell 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -3.1
Caleb Middleton 4 1-4 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -1.1

* = starter