Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | +1.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +8 (75-67). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -3.7 |
| Andrin Njock * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -3.8 |
| Eren Banks * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +8.6 |
| Alonzo Dodd * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +8.5 |
| Luke Wilson * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -21.9 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Jalen Tot | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | +4.2 |
| Chad Moodie | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +3.1 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 10-11 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | -4.6 |
| Armani Mighty * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | +11.3 |
| Zaire Williams * | 32 | 8-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Brady Shoulders * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -10.7 |
| Quinton Perkins II * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 17 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6.3 |
| Connor Serven | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Tristan Gross | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4.0 |
* = starter