Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jennings * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -10.8 |
| A. Njock * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -9.1 |
| E. Banks * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +3.9 |
| A. Dodd * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +0.8 |
| L. Wilson * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -6.5 |
| J. Clarke Jr. | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -16.3 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1.5 |
| J. Tot | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | +0.5 |
| C. Moodie | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.0 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Okojie * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 10-11 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | -0.3 |
| A. Mighty * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | +15.3 |
| Z. Williams * | 32 | 8-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | +7.9 |
| B. Shoulders * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -3.7 |
| Q. Perkins II * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -0.7 |
| K. Cuffe Jr. | 17 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +14.3 |
| C. Serven | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +3.8 |
| T. Gross | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -0.1 |
* = starter